Biden v. Trump: 2024 Presidential Election Polls [Updated]

Nactal.org is tracking the state of the race for the 2024 Presidential Election. They are monitoring various factors such as the latest polls, energy levels on the ground in key states, campaign events, voter registration, and fundraising. They are keeping a close eye on the Democratic and Republican nominees and their respective campaign finances. According to their findings, President Joe Biden’s campaign raised $24.8 million in July, August, and September, with about $32.2 million cash on hand. Former President Trump’s campaign raised $24.5 million in the same period, with about $37.5 million cash on hand. RacetotheWH is also monitoring the battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, where Trump currently leads Biden by 4 percentage points, primarily due to negative views on Biden’s handling of the economy. However, the Biden campaign has been dismissive of these findings, emphasizing that polls are not predictive and highlighting past elections where Democrats exceeded expectations.

They use a polling-driven Electoral College Map to show the current leader in each state. They also weight polls based on their sample size, recency, and the pollster’s track record. In 2022, Nactal.org correctly predicted the outcome of the highest percentage of Senate and Governor races. They are now forecasting the 2024 Senate Election.

Here are some of the latest polls they are tracking:

  • Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump: Trump leads Biden 44% to 41%.
  • Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis: DeSantis leads Biden 45% to 40%.
  • Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump: Trump leads Harris 43% to 40%.
  • Kamala Harris vs. Ron DeSantis: DeSantis leads Harris 47% to 38%.

These polls are just a snapshot of the race, and the outcome of the election could change significantly in the months leading up to it. However, RacetotheWH is a reliable source of information on the race, and their forecasts are worth following.

#AddedMatchupPollsterLead
1Nov 22Biden v. Haley – USAEchelon Insigh.R +3.0%
2Nov 22Biden v. Trump – USAEchelon Insigh.R +1.0%
3Nov 22Biden v. DeSantis – USAEchelon Insigh.D +2.0%
4Nov 22Biden v. Trump – USAEmerson CollegeR +4.0%
5Nov 22Biden v. Trump, RFK & W – USAEmerson CollegeR +6.3%
6Nov 22Biden v. Haley – USAEmerson CollegeR +0.1%
7Nov 21Biden v. Trump – USAMorning ConsultTie
8Nov 21Biden v. Trump – USAMorning ConsultR +3.0%
9Nov 21Biden v. Trump, Kennedy – USAHarrisXR +6.0%
10Nov 21Biden v. Trump – USAHarrisXR +6.0%
11Nov 20Biden v. DeSantis – FloridaCygnalR +2.9%
12Nov 20Biden v. Trump, RFK – FloridaCygnalR +6.7%
13Nov 20Biden v. Trump – FloridaCygnalR +4.6%
14Nov 20Biden v. Trump, Kennedy – USAHarrisXR +8.0%
15Nov 20Biden v. Trump – USAHarrisXR +6.0%
16Nov 20Biden v. Trump – New YorkSiena CollegeD +10.0%
17Nov 20Biden v. Trump, RFK & W – NYSiena CollegeD +9.0%
18Nov 19Biden v. Trump – USAHart Research/.R +2.0%
19Nov 18Biden v. Trump – MichiganEpic-MRAR +5.0%
20Nov 18Biden v. Haley – MichiganEpic-MRAR +11.0%
21Nov 18Biden v. Trump – WashingtonPublic Polic P.D +14.0%
22Nov 17Newsom v. Trump – CaliforniaEmerson CollegeD +18.0%
23Nov 17Harris v. Trump – CaliforniaEmerson CollegeD +9.0%
24Nov 17Biden v. Trump, RFK – CAEmerson CollegeD +12.0%
25Nov 17Biden v. Trump – CaliforniaEmerson CollegeD +13.0%
26Nov 16Biden v. DeSantis – USAMarquette Univ.R +12.0%
27Nov 16Biden v. Trump – USAMarquette Univ.R +2.0%
28Nov 16Biden v. Haley – USAMarquette Univ.R +2.0%
29Nov 16Biden v. Trump – OhioEmerson CollegeR +12.0%
30Nov 16Biden v. Trump, RFK & W – OhioEmerson CollegeR +14.0%

Sure, here is a rephrase of the text “2024 Presidential Election Polls Last Updated on Nov 22, 2:19 PM ET 30 Most Recently Added Polls

2024 Presidential Polls”:

2024 Presidential Election Polls: Stay Updated with the Latest Polling Data

Last Updated: November 22, 2023 at 2:19 PM ET

Explore: 30 Most Recently Added Polls

Choose your Matchup and Location [Updated on 24.11.2023]

Biden v. Trump

2024 Presidential Election Polls Prediction
Biden v. Trump

2024 Presidential Election Polls
Original Source: RaceToWH

Trend Line – Choose your Matchup

Biden v. Trump

2024 Presidential Election Polls
Original Source: RaceToWH
Biden v. Trump

2024 Presidential Election Polls
Original Source: RaceToWH
Sources: House speaker race: Jim Jordan's baffling press conference sets the tone (www.dailykos.com)Which presidential candidate has the most cash? (www.tmj4.com)The Hill's Morning Report — Speaker limbo; Biden seeks Israel, Ukraine aid (thehill.com)News24 | MTV cancels Europe Music Awards over Israel-Gaza war (www.news24.com)

Full List of Polls – Biden v. Trump

DatesPollsterSampleBidenTrumpLeader
Nov 14 – 17Echelon Insights (C-)1006 rv46%47%Trump +1%
Nov 17 – 20Emerson College (B+)1475 rv43%47%Trump +4%
Nov 14 – 16Morning Consult (C+)4000 rv42%42%Tie
Nov 17 – 19Morning Consult (C+)4000 rv41%44%Trump +3%
Nov 15 – 19HarrisX (C+)3017 rv47%53%Trump +6%
Nov 15 – 16HarrisX (C+)rv47%53%Trump +6%
Nov 10 – 14Hart Research/Pu… (B-)1000 rv44%46%Trump +2%
Nov 2 – 7Marquette Univer… (A+)668 lv49%51%Trump +2%
Nov 13 – 14IPSOS (C+)1006 a49%51%Trump +2%
Nov 10 – 13Fox News/Beacon (A)1001 rv46%50%Trump +4%
Nov 9 – 13Quinnipiac Unive… (B+)1574 rv46%48%Trump +2%
Nov 11 – 14YouGov (B+)1500 rv42%43%Trump +1%
Nov 8 – 12Rasmussen (C-)987 lv46%42%Biden +4%
Nov 1 – 3IBD/TIPP (A+)1242 rv43%41%Biden +2%
Oct 27 – Nov 2SSRS (B)1271 rv45%49%Trump +4%
Nov 3 – 5Morning Consult (C+)6000 RV41%39%Biden +2%
Oct 30 – Nov 1Cygnal (B)2000 lv47%45%Biden +2%
Oct 20 – 26Noble Predictive… (C-)2202 lv48%44%Biden +4%
Oct 27 – 29Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv43%39%Biden +4%
Oct 30 – Nov 3Yougov (CBS) (B+)1759 v48%51%Trump +3%
Oct 9 – 11Causeway Solutions (-)1011 rv48%33%Biden +15%
Oct 26 – 30Quinnipiac Unive… (B+)1610 rv47%46%Biden +1%
Oct 27 – 30American Pulse R… (-)568 lv42%44%Trump +2%
Oct 23 – 26Echelon Insights (C-)1029 lv47%47%Tie
Oct 27 – 29Leger (C-)1000 a38%36%Biden +2%
Oct 30 – Nov 1HarrisX (C+)2021 rv49%51%Trump +2%
Oct 28 – 31Yougov (B+)1500 a39%38%Biden +1%
Oct 22 – 26McLaughlin & Ass… (F)1000 lv43%48%Trump +5%
Sep 25 – 28Echelon Insights (C-)1011 lv36%40%Trump +4%
Aug 25 – 30Public Religion … (B)1167 rv48%46%Biden +2%
Oct 16 – 23HarrisX (C+)3029 rv41%45%Trump +4%
Oct 20 – 22Morning Consult (C+)5000 rv43%43%Tie
Oct 16 – 19LPTAD (-)1000 lv44%45%Trump +1%
Oct 17 – 20Suffolk University (B+)1000 rv41%41%Tie
Oct 18HarrisX (C+)2116 rv48%52%Trump +4%
Oct 16 – 17Emerson College (B+)1578 rv45%47%Trump +2%
Oct 12 – 16Yougov (B+)1123 rv42%40%Biden +2%
Oct 10 – 15Selzer & Co. (A+)784 lv40%40%Tie
Oct 8 – 10Yougov (B+)1296 rv43%42%Biden +1%
Sep 25 – Oct 11Project Home Fir… (-)2008 rv52%48%Biden +4%
Oct 14 – 17Hart Research/Pu… (B-)1001 rv42%46%Trump +4%
Oct 11Marist College (A+)1218 rv49%46%Biden +3%
Oct 13 – 15Morning Consult (C+)5000 rv43%41%Biden +2%
Oct 10 – 12J.L. Partners (D)lv44%45%Trump +1%
Oct 4 – 5Echelon Insights (C-)1033 lv37%41%Trump +4%
Oct 6 – 9Fox News/Beacon (A)1007 rv49%48%Biden +1%
Oct 4 – 7HarrisX (C+)2982 rv41%45%Trump +4%
Oct 6 – 8Morning Consult (C+)5000 rv43%42%Biden +1%
Oct 3 – 5Cygnal (B)2000 lv45%45%Biden +0%
Sep 27 – 29IBD/TIPP (A+)1262 rv42%42%Tie
Oct 3 – 4IPSOS (C+)1005 a35%35%Tie
Sep 18 – 25Marquette Univer… (A+)690 lv51%48%Biden +3%
Sep 30 – Oct 3SurveyUSA (A+)2330 lv43%43%Tie
Sep 25 – 28Marist College (A+)1137 rv49%47%Biden +2%
Sep 29 – Oct 1Morning Consult (C+)5000 rv43%43%Tie
Sep 25 – 28Echelon Insights (C-)1011 lv42%41%Biden +1%
Sep 28 – 29HarrisX (C+)1615 rv42%45%Trump +3%
Sep 23 – 26Yougov (B+)1293 rv45%40%Biden +5%
Sep 15 – 20J.L. Partners (D)1000 lv44%45%Trump +1%
Sep 8 – 14IPSOS (C+)3488 rv44%39%Biden +5%
Sep 13 – 19HarrisX (C+)3015 rv41%46%Trump +5%
Sep 15 – 19Hart Research/Pu… (B-)1000 rv36%39%Trump +3%
Sep 15 – 20ABC News/The Was… (A+)1006 a42%51%Trump +9%
Sep 15 – 19WPAI (C-)1000 rv43%41%Biden +2%
Jun 21 – Sep 19Activote (-)676 lv48%52%Trump +4%
Sep 17 – 18Emerson College (B+)1125 rv45%45%Tie
Sep 14 – 18YouGov (B+)1097 rv44%44%Tie
Sep 15 – 17Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv42%42%Tie
Sep 11 – 13Rasmussen Report… (C-)979 lv43%42%Biden +1%
Sep 12 – 15YouGov (B+)4002 a49%50%Trump +1%
Sep 13 – 14HarrisX (C+)2103 rv40%44%Trump +4%
Sep 8 – 14IPSOS (C+)4413 a39%39%Tie
Sep 9 – 12Fox News/Beacon (A)1012 rv46%48%Trump +2%
Aug 10 – 16Clarity Campaign… (B-)2018 rv43%40%Biden +3%
Sep 4 – 6Cygnal (B)2000 lv46%44%Biden +1%
Sep 6 – 11HarrisX (C+)3015 rv43%44%Trump +1%
Sep 7 – 11Quinnipiac Unive… (B+)1726 rv47%46%Biden +1%
Sep 10 – 12YouGov (B+)1334 rv44%43%Biden +1%
Sep 8 – 10Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv44%42%Biden +2%
Sep 3 – 4Redfield & Wilto… (D)1187 lv41%42%Trump +1%
Aug 25 – 31CNN/SSRS (B)1259 rv46%47%Trump +1%
Aug 28 – 31Echelon Insights (C-)1022 lv45%46%Trump +1%
Sep 2 – 4Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv44%41%Biden +3%
Aug 24 – 30Fabrizio/GBAO (B-)1500 rv46%46%Tie
Aug 26 – 29YouGov (B+)1303 rv43%44%Trump +1%
Aug 25 – 27Big Village (D)1667 rv43%44%Trump +0%
Aug 24 – 26HarrisX (C+)2013 rv45%44%Biden +1%
Aug 25 – 27Morning Consult (C+)5000 rv43%42%Biden +1%
Aug 25 – 26Emerson College (B+)1000 rv44%46%Trump +2%
Aug 15 – 23Mclaughlin & Ass… (F)1000 lv43%47%Trump +4%
Aug 17 – 21YouGov (B+)1116 rv47%41%Biden +6%
Aug 17 – 21HarrisX (C+)2327 rv45%44%Biden +1%
Aug 18 – 20Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv43%41%Biden +2%
Aug 16 – 17Emerson College (B+)1000 lv41%42%Trump +1%
Jul 31 – Aug 3Noble Predictive… (C-)2500 rv44%41%Biden +3%
Aug 11 – 14Fox News/Beacon (A)1002 rv44%41%Biden +3%
Aug 10 – 14Quinnipiac Unive… (B+)681 rv47%46%Biden +1%
Aug 11 – 14Marist College (A+)1000 rv47%46%Biden +1%
Aug 12 – 15YouGov (B+)1320 rv43%42%Biden +1%
Aug 11 – 13Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv43%41%Biden +2%
Aug 5 – 6Redfield & Wilto… (D)1212 lv40%42%Trump +2%
Aug 5 – 8Cygnal (B)2000 lv46%43%Biden +3%
Jul 28 – Aug 1IPSOS (C+)2009 a33%35%Trump +2%
Aug 4 – 6Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv43%42%Biden +1%
Jul 31 – Aug 1InsiderAdvantage (B-)850 lv45%44%Biden +1%
Jul 28 – 30Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv44%41%Biden +3%
Jul 23 – 27NYT/Siena (A+)1329 rv43%43%Tie
Jul 24 – 27Echelon Insights (C-)1013 lv45%44%Biden +1%
Jul 7 – 12Marquette (A+)788 rv50%50%Tie
Jul 24 – 26Big Village (D)1663 rv44%44%Tie
Jul 22 – 25YouGov (B+)1306 rv44%40%Biden +4%
Jul 21 – 26Mclaughlin & Ass… (F)1000 lv44%46%Trump +2%
Jul 1 – 24HarrisX (C+)922 rv42%46%Trump +4%
Jul 21 – 23Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv43%41%Biden +2%
Jul 19 – 20HarrisX (C+)2068 rv40%45%Trump +5%
Jul 13 – 17YouGov (B+)1638 rv47%43%Biden +4%
Jul 12 – 17Monmouth University (A+)840 rv47%40%Biden +7%
Jul 11 – 17Ipsos (C+)4414 a37%35%Biden +2%
Jul 13 – 17Quinnipiac Unive… (B+)1809 rv49%44%Biden +5%
Jun 14 – 28Prime Group (-)2200 rv52%48%Biden +4%
Jul 8 – 11YouGov (B+)1296 rv42%42%Tie
Jun 20 – 29YouGov Blue (B+)3012 rv47%41%Biden +6%
Jul 7 – 9Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv43%42%Biden +1%
Jun 5 – Jul 6HarrisX (C+)915 rv44%44%Tie
Jun 26 – 29Echelon Insights (C-)413 lv45%44%Biden +1%
Jun 25Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 lv42%41%Biden +1%
Jun 20 – 22Cygnal (B)2010 lv46%46%Tie
Jun 24 – 27YouGov (B+)1315 rv40%44%Trump +4%
Jun 23 – 26Premise (-)1481 rv40%42%Trump +2%
Jun 23 – 25Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv41%44%Trump +3%
Jun 19 – 23HarrisX (C+)2875 rv43%45%Trump +2%
May 22 – 24RMG Research (C-)1000 rv42%41%Biden +1%
Apr 27 – May 3GQR (-)1569 lv50%48%Biden +2%
Jun 16 – 20Hart Research/Pu… (B-)1000 lv49%45%Biden +4%
Jun 16 – 20YouGov (B+)1087 rv46%42%Biden +4%
Jun 19 – 20Emerson College (B+)1015 rv43%37%Biden +6%
Jun 12 – 14Rasmussen Report… (C-)986 lv39%45%Trump +6%
May 25 – Jun 5Data for Progress (C+)1625 lv47%45%Biden +2%
Jun 17 – 19Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv43%42%Biden +1%
Jun 12 – 15J.L. Partners (D)1000 lv46%44%Biden +2%
Jun 14 – 15HarrisX (C+)2090 rv39%45%Trump +6%
May 31 – Jun 8YouGov (B+)1133 a43%40%Biden +3%
Jun 9 – 14Big Village (D)1679 rv42%45%Trump +3%
Jun 8 – 12Quinnipiac Unive… (B+)1735 rv48%44%Biden +4%
Jun 9 – 12Premise (-)1466 rv43%44%Trump +1%
Jun 10 – 13YouGov (B+)1303 rv41%41%Tie
Jun 5 – 9Suffolk University (B+)1000 rv34%32%Biden +2%
Jun 9 – 11Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv42%42%Tie
Jun 2 – 4Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv43%40%Biden +3%
May 31Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 rv41%37%Biden +4%
May 29 – Jun 1Premise (-)1496 rv42%44%Trump +2%
May 25 – 30YouGov (B+)1011 rv48%41%Biden +7%
May 27 – 31YouGov (B+)1313 rv43%40%Biden +3%
May 27 – 31YouGov (B+)1313 rv40%45%Trump +5%
May 26 – 28Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv43%43%Tie
May 22 – 25Echelon Insights (C-)1035 lv46%44%Biden +2%
May 8 – 18Marquette (A+)833 rv47%52%Trump +5%
May 8 – 14Clarity Campaign… (B-)1122 rv47%43%Biden +4%
May 16 – 18Cygnal (B)2572 lv47%45%Biden +2%
May 18 – 22Quinnipiac Unive… (B+)1616 rv48%46%Biden +2%
May 19 – 21Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv42%42%Tie
Apr 28 – May 2Change Research (C-)1208 rv48%43%Biden +5%
May 17Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 rv41%37%Biden +4%
May 17 – 18HarrisX (C+)2004 rv40%47%Trump +7%
May 10 – 13Wpai (C-)1571 rv47%40%Biden +7%
May 13 – 16YouGov (B+)1302 rv42%44%Trump +2%
May 9 – 15IPSOS (C+)4415 rv44%38%Biden +6%
May 12 – 14Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv44%41%Biden +3%
May 10 – 12Big Village (D)830 rv42%45%Trump +3%
May 5 – 8YouGov (B+)1069 rv45%43%Biden +2%
May 5 – 7Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv44%42%Biden +2%
Apr 28 – May 3ABC News/The Was… (A+)1006 rv38%44%Trump +6%
Apr 29 – May 2YouGov (B+)1357 rv41%41%Tie
Apr 28 – 30Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv44%42%Biden +2%
Apr 27 – May 1Premise (-)1577 rv42%45%Trump +3%
Apr 25 – 27Echelon Insights (C-)1012 lv47%42%Biden +5%
Apr 24 – 27Mclaughlin & Ass… (F)1000 lv43%47%Trump +4%
Apr 24Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 rv42%40%Biden +3%
Apr 18 – 20Cygnal (B)2500 lv46%45%Biden +1%
Apr 24 – 25Emerson College (B+)1100 rv43%41%Biden +2%
Apr 10 – 13Wick (B-)1250 rv42%43%Trump +1%
Apr 22 – 24IPSOS (C+)1005 a43%38%Biden +5%
Apr 21 – 23Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv43%42%Biden +1%
Apr 19 – 23Big Village (D)1619 rv43%43%Tie
Apr 5 – 10Clarity Campaign… (B-)2002 lv46%43%Biden +3%
Apr 11 – 17Impact Research/… (B+)1500 lv48%45%Biden +3%
Apr 18 – 19HarrisX (C+)1845 rv40%45%Trump +5%
Apr 14 – 17Premise (-)1485 rv42%44%Trump +2%
Apr 14 – 17YouGov (B+)1027 rv46%42%Biden +4%
Apr 15 – 18YouGov (B+)1316 rv43%44%Trump +1%
Apr 14 – 16Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv43%40%Biden +3%
Apr 8 – 11YouGov (B+)1322 rv43%44%Trump +1%
Apr 7 – 9Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv43%42%Biden +1%
Apr 4Redfield & Wilto… (D)1180 lv44%43%Biden +1%
Apr 4 – 6YouGov (B+)1000 a39%37%Biden +2%
Mar 30 – Apr 3Rasmussen Report… (C-)971 lv40%47%Trump +7%
Apr 1 – 4YouGov (B+)1319 rv42%44%Trump +2%
Mar 31 – Apr 2Premise (-)1562 rv44%43%Biden +1%
Mar 31 – Apr 2Morning Consult (C+)5000 rv42%40%Biden +2%
Mar 26 – 27Cygnal (B)2550 lv45%45%Biden +0%
Mar 30 – 31YouGov (B+)1080 a45%43%Biden +2%
Mar 27 – 29Echelon Insights (C-)307 lv47%44%Biden +3%
Mar 12 – 22Marquette (A+)863 rv38%38%Tie
Mar 23 – 27Quinnipiac Unive… (B+)671 rv48%46%Biden +2%
Mar 3 – 5Morning Consult (C+)5000 rv43%42%Biden +1%
Mar 14 – 20IPSOS (C+)4410 a38%35%Biden +3%
Mar 2 – 23HarrisX (C+)2905 rv41%45%Trump +4%
Mar 20Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 rv41%40%Biden +1%
Mar 16 – 22YouGov (B+)1060 rv45%43%Biden +2%
#VALUE!Premise (-)1509 rv41%47%Trump +6%
Mar 17 – 19Morning Consult (C+)5000 rv44%41%Biden +3%
Mar 6 – 9Wick (B-)1125 lv45%43%Biden +2%
Mar 9 – 13Quinnipiac Unive… (B+)1635 rv47%46%Biden +1%
Mar 10 – 12Morning Consult (C+)5000 rv43%42%Biden +1%
Mar 7 – 8Redfield & Wilto… (D)1201 lv44%44%Biden +0%
Mar 4 – 7Premise (-)1621 rv44%45%Trump +1%
Mar 3 – 5Morning Consult (C+)5000 rv42%43%Trump +1%
Feb 24 – 27Cygnal (B)2424 lv47%45%Biden +2%
Feb 19 – 26Susquehanna (B)800 rv52%39%Biden +13%
Feb 22 – 27YouGov (B+)1000 a39%38%Biden +1%
Feb 22 – 27YouGov (B+)1014 rv43%45%Trump +2%
Feb 23 – 25Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv43%41%Biden +2%
Feb 24 – 25Emerson College (B+)1060 rv42%46%Trump +3%
Feb 21 – 23Echelon Insights (C-)499 lv47%44%Biden +3%
Feb 17 – 23Mclaughlin & Ass… (F)1000 lv44%48%Trump +4%
Feb 16 – 19Premise (-)1717 rv44%42%Biden +2%
Feb 19Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 rv39%36%Biden +3%
Feb 17 – 19Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv42%41%Biden +1%
Feb 15 – 16HarrisX (C+)1838 rv41%46%Trump +5%
Feb 9 – 14Quinnipiac (B+)1429 rv48%46%Biden +2%
Feb 8 – 12Rasmussen Report… (C-)900 lv45%42%Biden +3%
Feb 6 – 13IPSOS (-)4408 a38%41%Trump +3%
Feb 10 – 11Public Policy Po… (B+)1056 rv49%45%Biden +4%
Feb 10 – 12Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv43%41%Biden +2%
Feb 2 – 6YouGov (B+)1585 a47%41%Biden +6%
Feb 3 – 6Premise (-)1655 rv41%36%Biden +5%
Jan 14 – 18Schoen Cooperman… (C-)909 rv45%42%Biden +3%
Jan 31 – Feb 2Morning Consult (C+)2746 rv43%40%Biden +3%
Jan 27 – Feb 3ABC News/The Was… (A+)895 rv45%48%Trump +3%
Jan 28 – 29Redfield & Wilto… (D)1139 lv37%36%Biden +1%
Jan 27 – 29Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv43%40%Biden +3%
Jan 23 – 25Echelon Insights (C-)1024 lv45%42%Biden +3%
Jan 19 – 24McLaughlin & Ass… (F)1000 lv43%48%Trump +5%
Jan 9 – 20Marquette (A+)790 rv40%40%Tie
Jan 19 – 20Cygnal (B)2529 lv47%44%Biden +3%
Jan 19 – 23Premise (-)1676 rv52%48%Biden +4%
Jan 19 – 21Emerson College (B+)1015 rv41%44%Trump +3%
Jan 20 – 22Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv44%41%Biden +3%
Jan 18 – 19HarrisX (C+)2050 rv41%46%Trump +5%
Jan 16Redfield & Wilto… (D)2000 rv35%35%Tie
Jan 14 – 17YouGov (B+)1500 a42%36%Biden +6%
Jan 10 – 12Morning Consult (C+)6000 rv43%40%Biden +3%
Jan 2 – 8WPAi (C-)1035 lv49%41%Biden +8%
Jan 5 – 8Premise (-)1642 rv50%50%Tie
Jan 6 – 8Morning Consult (C+)7500 rv44%41%Biden +3%
Dec 22 – 29, 2022Data for Progress (C+)1189 lv47%45%Biden +2%
Dec 31 – Jan 2Morning Consult (C+)8000 rv44%40%Biden +4%
Dec 15 – 19, 2022YouGov (B+)1041 rv45%41%Biden +4%
Dec 16 – 18, 2022Morning Consult (C+)7000 rv43%41%Biden +2%
Dec 12 – 14, 2022Echelon Insights (C-)1021 rv49%42%Biden +7%
Dec 14 – 15, 2022HarrisX (C+)1851 rv40%45%Trump +5%
Dec 3 – 7, 2022Impact Research/… (B+)1500 rv45%43%Biden +2%
Dec 9 – 11, 2022Suffolk University (B+)1000 rv43%41%Biden +2%
Dec 7 – 11, 2022Morning Consult (C+)7000 rv47%40%Biden +7%
Dec 1 – 5, 2022YouGov (B+)1204 RV45%42%Biden +3%
Dec 5, 2022Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 rv37%36%Biden +1%
Dec 5, 2022Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 rv36%38%Trump +2%
Nov 8 – 9, 2022Rasmussen Report… (C-)1767 lv44%47%Trump +3%
Nov 15 – 22, 2022Marquette (A+)840 rv44%34%Biden +10%
Nov 19 – 20, 2022Premise (-)1747 a53%47%Biden +6%
Nov 17 – 19, 2022Echelon Insights (C-)1036 rv43%45%Trump +2%
Nov 18 – 19, 2022Emerson College (B+)1380 rv45%41%Biden +4%
Nov 16 – 17, 2022HarrisX (C+)2212 rv43%43%Tie
Nov 17, 2022Redfield & Wilto… (D)1203 lv40%38%Biden +2%
Nov 6 – 8, 2022GQR (-)1000 rv46%48%Trump +2%
Nov 6 – 8, 2022GQR (-)1000 rv45%49%Trump +4%
Nov 2 – 7, 2022Morning Consult (C+)3980 rv44%43%Biden +1%
Nov 11 – 13, 2022Leger (C-)1007 a36%33%Biden +3%
Nov 2, 2022Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 rv39%36%Biden +3%
Oct 27 – 30, 2022Benenson Strateg… (C-)1000 lv45%43%Biden +2%
Oct 27 – 31, 2022YouGov (B+)1172 rv48%42%Biden +6%
Oct 22 – 26, 2022Impact Research/… (B+)1500 rv46%46%Tie
Oct 19 – 24, 2022Suffolk University (B+)1000 lv46%42%Biden +4%
Oct 24 – 26, 2022Echelon Insights (C-)1014 lv45%46%Trump +1%
Oct 18 – 19, 2022Emerson College (B+)1000 rv43%40%Biden +3%
Oct 12 – 17, 2022Mclaughlin & Ass… (F)1000 lv44%50%Trump +6%
Oct 13 – 17, 2022YouGov (B+)1209 rv43%39%Biden +4%
Oct 9 – 12, 2022Siena/NYT (-)792 rv42%43%Trump +1%
Oct 12, 2022Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 rv36%35%Biden +1%
Oct 12 – 13, 2022HarrisX (C+)2010 rv43%45%Trump +2%
Oct 4 – 11, 2022Susquehanna (B)800 lv48%44%Biden +4%
Oct 2 – 3, 2022Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 rv39%34%Biden +5%
Sep 23 – 27, 2022YouGov (B+)1138 rv47%45%Biden +2%
Sep 18 – 21, 2022ABC News/The Was… (A+)1000 lv48%46%Biden +2%
Sep 20 – 21, 2022Emerson College (B+)1368 lv45%44%Biden +1%
Sep 16 – 19, 2022Premise (-)1703 a51%49%Biden +2%
Sep 7 – 14, 2022Marquette (A+)1282 rv42%36%Biden +6%
Sep 16 – 19, 2022Echelon Insights (C-)1056 rv47%43%Biden +4%
Sep 14 – 15, 2022Redfield & Wilto… (D)1163 lv43%40%Biden +3%
Sep 6 – 14, 2022Siena/NYT (-)1399 lv45%42%Biden +3%
Sep 2 – 5, 2022Premise (-)1185 rv37%42%Trump +5%
Aug 13 – Sep 7, 2022Echelon Insights (C-)1228 lv46%45%Biden +1%
Sep 7 – 8, 2022HarrisX (C+)1854 rv42%45%Trump +3%
Aug 28, 2022Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 rv37%35%Biden +2%
Sep 2 – 6, 2022YouGov (B+)1247 rv48%42%Biden +6%
Aug 17 – 25, 2022Impact Research/… (B+)1313 rv50%44%Biden +6%
Aug 23 – 24, 2022Emerson College (B+)1000 rv43%42%Biden +1%
Aug 19 – 22, 2022Echelon Insights (C-)1054 rv48%42%Biden +6%
Aug 18 – 22, 2022YouGov (B+)1185 rv46%42%Biden +4%
Aug 17, 2022Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 rv36%37%Trump +1%
Aug 5 – 8, 2022The Bullfinch Group (-)1008 rv37%39%Trump +2%
Jul 28 – Aug 1, 2022YouGov (B+)1152 rv45%41%Biden +4%
Jul 28, 2022Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 rv34%35%Trump +1%
Jul 27 – 28, 2022HarrisX (C+)1885 rv41%45%Trump +4%
Jul 26 – 27, 2022Rasmussen Report… (C-)1000 lv40%46%Trump +6%
Jul 22 – 25, 2022Suffolk University (B+)1000 rv45%41%Biden +4%
Jul 19 – 20, 2022Emerson College (B+)1078 rv43%46%Trump +3%
Jul 15 – 18, 2022Echelon Insights (C-)1022 rv46%43%Biden +3%
Jul 11 – 14, 2022Trafalgar Group (C-)1085 lv43%48%Trump +5%
Jul 9, 2022Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 rv41%43%Trump +2%
Jul 8 – 11, 2022YouGov (B+)1261 rv44%43%Biden +1%
Jul 5 – 7, 2022Siena/NYT (-)849 lv44%41%Biden +3%
Jun 28 – 29, 2022Emerson College (B+)1271 rv39%44%Trump +5%
Jun 24 – 27, 2022YouGov (B+)1239 rv46%43%Biden +3%
Jun 17 – 20, 2022Echelon Insights (C-)1030 lv45%43%Biden +2%
Jun 15, 2022Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 rv33%33%Tie
Jun 10 – 13, 2022YouGov (B+)1243 rv42%44%Trump +2%
May 30, 2022Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 rv38%42%Trump +4%
May 20 – 23, 2022Echelon Insights (C-)1020 lv45%44%Biden +1%
May 19 – 22, 2022YouGov (B+)1573 a42%39%Biden +3%
May 18 – 19, 2022Harris Poll (-)1963 rv42%45%Trump +3%
May 17, 2022Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 rv35%36%Trump +1%
May 10 – 11, 2022Emerson College (B+)1000 rv51%38%Biden +13%
May 1, 2022Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 rv37%36%Biden +1%
Apr 19 – 27, 2022Susquehanna Poll… (B)302 lv48%46%Biden +2%
Apr 25 – 26, 2022Emerson College (B+)1000 rv42%43%Trump +1%
Apr 22 – 25, 2022Morning Consult (C+)2004 rv45%44%Biden +1%
Apr 19 – 22, 2022YouGov (B+)1187 rv43%41%Biden +2%
Apr 20 – 21, 2022Harris Poll (-)1966 rv43%45%Trump +2%
Apr 21 – 23, 2022InsiderAdvantage (B-)750 lv43%47%Trump +4%
Apr 18 – 20, 2022Echelon Insights (C-)1001 lv45%44%Biden +1%
Apr 18, 2022Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 lv41%43%Trump +2%
Mar 31 – Apr 4, 2022YouGov (B+)1233 rv45%40%Biden +5%
Apr 3, 2022Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 rv34%37%Trump +3%
Mar 14 – 24, 2022Marquette Univer… (A+)1004 a41%37%Biden +4%
Mar 23 – 24, 2022Harrisx (C+)1000 a41%47%Trump +6%
Mar 20, 2022Redfield & Wilto… (D)1500 rv37%36%Biden +1%
Mar 17 – 22, 2022McLaughlin & Ass… (F)1000 lv46%49%Trump +3%
Mar 15 – 21, 2022University of Ma… (B+)873 rv44%42%Biden +2%
Mar 18 – 21, 2022Echelon Insights (C-)1050 rv46%43%Biden +3%
Mar 18 – 20, 2022Emerson College (B+)1023 rv42%45%Trump +3%
Mar 10 – 14, 2022YouGov (B+)1225 rv47%39%Biden +8%
Mar 2 – 9, 2022Schoen Cooperman… (C-)800 lv44%44%Tie
Mar 8, 2022Redfield & Wilton (D)1194 lv40%42%Trump +2%
Mar 2 – 7, 2022Fabrizio (C+)1500 rv45%45%Tie
Feb 24 – 28, 2022YouGov (B+)1169 rv45%42%Biden +3%
Feb 23 – 24, 2022NewsNation (-)1046 rv37%41%Trump +4%
Feb 23, 2022Redfield & Wilton (D)1500 lv42%38%Biden +4%
Feb 19 – 23, 2022Echelon Insights (C-)1078 rv45%43%Biden +2%
Feb 16 – 22, 2022McLaughlin & Ass… (F)1000 lv45%48%Trump +3%
Feb 19 – 20, 2022Emerson College (B+)1138 rv44%48%Trump +4%
Feb 3 – 9, 2022Susquehanna (B)800 lv46%43%Biden +3%
Feb 6, 2022Redfield & Wilton (D)1205 lv41%41%Tie
Jan 20 – 24, 2022YouGov (B+)1568 a42%40%Biden +2%
Jan 21 – 23, 2022Echelon Insights (C-)1029 rv47%43%Biden +4%
Jan 10 – 21, 2022Marquette (A+)1000 rv43%33%Biden +10%
Jan 22 – 23, 2022Morning Consult (C+)2005 rv45%44%Biden +1%
Jan 19 – 20, 2022Harris Poll (-)1815 rv40%46%Trump +6%
Jan 6, 2022PEM Management (-)1000 lv45%44%Biden +1%
Jan 8 – 9, 2022Redfield & Wilton (D)1261 lv43%41%Biden +2%
Jan 5, 2022Rasmussen Report… (C-)1016 lv40%46%Trump +6%
Jan 12 – 13, 2022IPSOS (C+)1005 a43%41%Biden +2%
Dec 16 – 17, 2021YouGov (B+)777 a45%38%Biden +7%
Dec 18, 2021Redfield & Wilton (D)1500 rv34%39%Trump +5%
Dec 17 – 19, 2021InsiderAdvantage (B-)750 rv41%49%Trump +8%
Dec 9 – 13, 2021YouGov (B+)1558 a47%41%Biden +6%
Dec 9 – 13, 2021Echelon Insights (C-)1020 rv47%44%Biden +3%
Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2021HarrisX (C+)1989 rv45%48%Trump +3%
Nov 12 – 18, 2021Echelon Insights (C-)1013 rv45%45%Tie
Nov 1 – 10, 2021Marquette (A+)1004 a42%34%Biden +8%
Nov 15, 2021Redfield & Wilton (D)1500 rv35%41%Trump +6%
Nov 4 – 8, 2021YouGov (B+)1673 a43%39%Biden +4%
Nov 3 – 5, 2021Suffolk University (B+)1000 rv40%44%Trump +4%
Oct 3 – 4, 2021Emerson College (B+)1000 rv43%45%Trump +2%
Oct 27 – 28, 2021HarrisX (C+)1688 rv45%46%Trump +1%
Oct 19 – 21, 2021YouGov (B+)1704 a43%40%Biden +3%
Oct 17, 2021Redfield & Wilton (D)1138 lv42%40%Biden +2%
Oct 15 – 19, 2021Echelon Insights (C-)1098 rv48%42%Biden +6%
Oct 13 – 17, 2021Selzer & Co. (A+)735 lv40%40%Tie
Oct 5, 2021Redfield & Wilton (D)1150 lv43%41%Biden +2%
Sep 17 – 23, 2021Echelon Insights (C-)829 lv50%39%Biden +11%
Sep 21 – 22, 2021Rasmussen Report… (C-)1000 lv43%51%Trump +8%
Sep 19 – 20, 2021Redfield & Wilton (D)1137 lv42%40%Biden +2%
Sep 4 – 5, 2021Redfield & Wilton (D)1148 lv45%42%Biden +3%
Aug 30 – Sep 1, 2021Emerson College (B+)1200 rv46%47%Trump +1%
Aug 16 – 17, 2021Rasmussen Report… (C-)1000 lv37%43%Trump +6%
Jul 30 – Aug 2, 2021YouGov (B+)1552 a47%37%Biden +10%
Jul 8, 2021PEM Management (-)1000 lv46%43%Biden +3%
Jun 22 – 24, 2021YouGov (B+)1592 a47%35%Biden +12%
Apr 12 – 16, 2021IPSOS (C+)1107 a45%28%Biden +17%
May 11 – 13, 2021YouGov (B+)1561 a48%36%Biden +12%
Apr 3 – 7, 2021PEM Management (-)1000 lv46%42%Biden +4%
Original Source: RaceToWH

Weight of Polls in the Average – Biden v. Trump

Biden v. Trump

2024 Presidential Election Polls
Original Source: RaceToWH

Poll Map – Electoral College – Biden v. Trump

Poll Map - Electoral College

Biden v. Trump 2024: Polling for each State – By Matchup

StateEVLeaderBidenTrumpLatest PollTotal Polls
USATrump +1.2%44.8%46.0%Nov 22402
Alabama9Trump +24.3%32.4%56.7%Aug 301
Alaska3Trump +9.8%36.0%45.8%Oct 232
Arizona11Trump +3.7%42.5%46.1%Nov 1421
Arkansas6Trump +31.3%24.9%56.2%Oct 152
California54Biden +21%53.0%32.0%Nov 1710
Colorado10Biden +6.3%43.2%36.9%Oct 166
Connecticut7Biden +11.1%49.9%38.7%Oct 26 (22)2
Delaware3
D.C.3
Wisconsin10Biden +1.5%47.3%45.8%Nov 1014
Wyoming3Trump +51.3%15.9%67.2%Oct 171

OutcomeRacetotheWHEconomist538CNalysisJHKDecision DeskVeritiumSplit TicketCookCrystal BallRCP
Actual Outcome (GOP-Dem)223.2 – 213224.5 – –230 – –230 – –231.4 – –232 – –233 – –234 – –234 – –237 – –244 – –
Prediction DiscrepancyOff by 1.2Off by 2.5Off by 8Off by 8Off by 9.4Off by 10Off by 11Off by 12Off by 12Off by 15Off by 22

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